Analysts at the Eurasian Development Bank (EDB) estimate that cross-border infrastructure projects connecting Central Asia and China will require $9 billion in investment by 2035, with Beijing positioned as the leading financier in the region’s transport development.
According to the EDB, 12 projects valued at more than $9 billion are either underway or in the planning stages. These account for 17% of the $52.8 billion allocated to 90 transport corridor projects across Central Asia. The initiatives are expected to significantly boost trade and cargo flows with China, already the region’s largest trading partner, The Caspian Post reports, citing The Times of Central Asia.
The most ambitious among them is the long-anticipated China-Kyrgyzstan-Uzbekistan (CKU) railway, a $4.7 billion project that will establish the first direct rail link between China and these two Central Asian states.
Half of the funding will come from a Chinese concessional loan, while the remainder will be provided by a joint venture created to build and operate the railway. China will hold a 51% stake in the venture, while Kyrgyzstan’s contribution is valued at $575.75 million.
On August 31 in Tianjin, Kyrgyz President Sadyr Japarov met with Chinese President Xi Jinping. Following the meeting, officials signed a letter of intent regarding China’s preferential loan to finance Kyrgyzstan’s share, according to the Kyrgyz presidency.
The 523-kilometer railway officially broke ground on December 27, 2024, in Jalal-Abad, Kyrgyzstan. Once completed, the CKU will link Kashgar (China) with Torugart, Makmal, and Jalal-Abad (Kyrgyzstan), and Andijan (Uzbekistan). The line is projected to carry up to 15 million tons of cargo annually, significantly reshaping regional trade flows. Currently, Kazakhstan is the only Central Asian country with a direct railway connection to China.
Kazakhstan leads Central Asia in cross-border infrastructure investment with China, accounting for $3.4 billion or 37% of the total. Key projects include:
The modernization of the Dostyk-Moiynty railway section (836 km), scheduled for completion in 2025, which will increase freight capacity fivefold.
Construction of the Ayagoz-Bakhty railway line and the launch of a third border crossing with China, aimed at further diversifying transit corridors.
The scale and scope of these initiatives underscore the strategic importance of transport connectivity in China-Central Asia relations, particularly under the Belt and Road Initiative. By 2035, upgraded infrastructure is expected not only to enhance regional logistics and reduce transport bottlenecks but also to strengthen Central Asia’s position as a vital transit corridor between China and Europe, fostering deeper economic integration across the Eurasian continent.
